Likely New Stakes Outside of the United States and Canada

I have hesitated to provide a list of districts close to becoming stakes and stakes close to being split because I do not want people living in those areas to become disappointed when it does not happen soon or not at all. I just want to make it clear that these are my predictions and are not coming from anyone else in the Church (with the exception of input given by missionaries and members around the world). I created this list based on several factors listed below

1. Number of congregations in a city/region
2. How large of a geographical region a stake/district covers
3. Number of baptisms and activity levels (if available)
4. The maturity of the Church in the city/region (i.e. how long has the Church been established)

I'll start with South America and the Caribbean and add other parts of the world in future posts. Cities with stakes likely to split are in regular font; districts likely to become stakes are in italics. Number of current branches in districts are provided to the best of my knowledge.

BRAZIL - Campinas Temple District

• Belo Horizonte
• Campo Grande
• Juiz de Fora
• Niteroi
• Rio Branco
• Sao Jose do Rio Preto

BRAZIL - Curitiba Temple District

• Curitiba
• Joinville

BRAZIL - Porto Alegre Temple District

• Canoas ~10 wards

BRAZIL - Recife Temple District

• Belem
• Fortaleza
• Recife

BRAZIL - Sao Paulo Temple District

• Sao Paulo

PERU

• Chiclayo
• Chimbote
• Lima
• Trujillo
• Casa Grande - 6
• Chincha - 6
• Guadalupe La Libertad - 5
• Tarma - 10

ECUADOR

• Loja - 6
• Riobamba - 5

COLOMBIA

• Bogata
• Cartagena
• Armenia - 7
• Duitama - 6
• Ibague - 5
• Manizales - 7
• Popayan - 5
• Santa Marta - 5

BOLIVIA

• La Paz
• Santa Cruz
• Guayaramerin - 6
• Riberalta - 6
• Tupiza - 6

PARAGUAY

• Coronel Oviedo - 7
• Encarnacion - 7

VENEZUELA

• Guayana
• Puerto La Cruz
• Falcon - 5
• La Pascua - 6
• Valera - 8

URUGUAY

• Trienta y Tres - 6

GUYANA

• Georgetown - 7
• New Amsterdam - 6

SURINAME

• Paramaribo - 6

TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO

• Port of Spain - 11

JAMAICA

• Kingston - 5

DOMINICAN REPUBLIC

• San Cristobal
• Santo Domingo
• Azua - 6
• Barahona - 7
• San Juan - 6
• San Pedro - 11

If anyone has information concerning districts close to stakehood or stakes close to splitting, feel free to leave a comment.